Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000265 0.000297 0.000332 0.000373 0.000418 0.000468 0.000528
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000202 0.000246 0.000299 0.000366 0.000450 0.000550 0.000682
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000166 0.000216 0.000279 0.000365 0.000480 0.000629 0.000840
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000140 0.000191 0.000259 0.000358 0.000497 0.000689 0.000977
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000124 0.000177 0.000251 0.000362 0.000528 0.000770 0.001152
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000112 0.000165 0.000243 0.000365 0.000556 0.000846 0.001330
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000097 0.000148 0.000224 0.000349 0.000552 0.000873 0.001432
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000088 0.000139 0.000218 0.000351 0.000575 0.000944 0.001616
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000084 0.000136 0.000220 0.000366 0.000621 0.001059 0.001889
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000076 0.000126 0.000209 0.000359 0.000628 0.001105 0.002045
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000114 0.000194 0.000341 0.000614 0.001114 0.002132
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000110 0.000191 0.000345 0.000640 0.001197 0.002373
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000109 0.000194 0.000361 0.000691 0.001338 0.002757
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000102 0.000186 0.000356 0.000701 0.001398 0.002986
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000097 0.000181 0.000355 0.000719 0.001480 0.003274
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000091 0.000173 0.000348 0.000724 0.001532 0.003504
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000088 0.000171 0.000352 0.000753 0.001642 0.003888
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000085 0.000168 0.000355 0.000779 0.001748 0.004281
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000078 0.000158 0.000339 0.000762 0.001751 0.004412
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000037 0.000075 0.000155 0.000341 0.000785 0.001853 0.004818
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000036 0.000075 0.000158 0.000356 0.000841 0.002043 0.005499
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000033 0.000071 0.000152 0.000348 0.000841 0.002094 0.005801
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000030 0.000065 0.000142 0.000332 0.000817 0.002076 0.005900